Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 109.072571 124.020641 140.556651 160.254917 183.144270 208.977943 240.447620
2025-11-30 87.951841 107.499475 130.971435 161.422832 200.160251 248.159058 312.704346
2025-12-07 72.845623 93.544973 119.845591 156.073018 205.236862 270.436449 364.793021
2025-12-14 63.536598 84.882993 113.270185 154.332034 213.120051 295.656827 422.827745
2025-12-21 57.634368 79.678364 110.178524 156.236594 225.393075 327.602029 494.362027
2025-12-28 54.180061 77.279845 110.424504 162.512260 244.287666 371.167142 589.869908
2026-01-04 50.579633 74.159489 109.100717 166.004661 259.008429 409.850029 683.387778
2026-01-11 46.391163 69.660897 105.122356 164.706957 265.617995 435.888818 759.129919
2026-01-18 43.891309 67.465305 104.393678 168.393743 280.700043 477.900762 870.136287
2026-01-25 40.873608 64.133514 101.468053 167.980023 288.471021 507.807720 963.073041
2026-02-01 38.598158 61.778191 99.872162 169.584339 299.881821 545.678059 1078.065353
2026-02-08 35.762692 58.233900 95.927820 166.547466 302.223166 566.387355 1160.804950
2026-02-15 33.171194 55.104414 92.784735 165.348751 309.358039 600.485401 1286.262613
2026-02-22 31.205779 52.912090 91.129339 166.854371 322.309347 649.244964 1457.794169
2026-03-01 28.471570 49.094584 86.146161 161.315587 320.049409 665.166250 1554.746933
2026-03-08 26.534097 46.542293 83.237847 159.508970 325.329880 698.531576 1703.221052
2026-03-15 25.260417 45.097139 82.263409 161.486269 339.068834 753.613535 1922.626208
2026-03-22 24.616438 44.774577 83.407607 168.002331 363.952152 839.834077 2251.813406
2026-03-29 23.697949 43.835699 83.228973 171.629068 382.652922 914.254012 2568.433122
2026-04-05 22.351744 41.939696 80.931002 170.281402 389.168437 958.348221 2804.801496
2026-04-12 21.609632 41.189271 80.921131 174.110270 409.097598 1042.339013 3196.216524
2026-04-19 20.538439 39.679624 79.171081 173.680585 418.076695 1097.624665 3508.131606
2026-04-26 19.727380 38.644015 78.343131 175.346841 432.844105 1172.668525 3916.066196